Forex Gold is back to soar and recorded a new all-time high

The price of gold rose slightly by around 0.76% from today's open price. After price volatility occurred last week due to the NFP release, gold price changes bounced from the low of $2277 now close. The nearest resistance target refers to the upper band around $2310. A break of resistance allows the price to find new resistance at the high of $2320.
Bank holidays in Japan and the UK may reduce the volatility of changes on Monday, with prices expected to move within the daily range.

Gold 06 05 2024 h1 tv.png
 
I don't see anything surprising here. Whenever there are various wars and crises in the world, large investors invest in the most liquid and safe asset, which is gold. Accordingly, due to increased demand, its price is rising.
 
I don't see anything surprising here. Whenever there are various wars and crises in the world, large investors invest in the most liquid and safe asset, which is gold. Accordingly, due to increased demand, its price is rising.
Even though it fell a few hours after last week's NFP, it is still possible that gold still has the potential to rise even though the Fed is still maintaining high interest rates at this time.
 
Yesterday's gold price rose and formed a bullish candlestick with a price range of $2291 - $2331.
Gold price increases may encounter resistance near the middle band line at around $2340.In the short term, gold is still consolidating in the hourly range of $2318 - $2331.

The NFP news released in May showed that the actual data was lower than the forecast, reflecting a value that was far from market expectations, which might weaken the USD Friday's U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed 175,000 fewer jobs than forecast in April.

gold 07 05 2024 h1 tv.png
 
Gold prices fell on Tuesday largely due to the strengthening of the US dollar.
Although last Friday's NFP data showed a weakening labor market indicating that the Fed may cut interest rates sooner than expected, however, comments from Fed members over the past few days continue to indicate reluctance among policy players to reduce interest rates soon.

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said current interest rates should cool the economy enough to bring inflation down to the Fed's target of 2.0%, but it will be a "tough road," and "that doesn't mean you won't get there. That's right." it just takes time."

gold 08 05 2024 d1 tv.png
 
Gold price traded tightly yesterday forming a bearish candlestick with a small body. The price is still moving between the middle and lower band lines on the daily timeframe. Here the Bollinger bands draw a flat channel reflecting the sideways market.

Gold prices tend to move slightly above the $2300 support. Several points that are currently of concern to the market:
  • US dollar recovers after Fed Kashkari's hawkish guidance on interest rates.
  • Tensions in the Middle East worsened due to Israel's invasion of Rafah.
gold 09 05 2024 d1 tv.png
 
Gold price surged over $36.52 yesterday with a rise of 1.58% from $2306 to a high of $2346 by forming a long-body bullish candlestick without a shadow. Some reasons for the rising gold prices include several global central banks finally continuing to cut interest rates. In Sweden, the Riksbank took steps to reduce interest rates by 0.25% to 3.75%. The Bank of England meeting showed an increasing willingness to lower interest rates. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) lowered interest rates at its March meeting, the RBA's dovish policy and the European Central Bank (ECB) has guaranteed it will cut interest rates in June.

Geopolitical tensions are also a concern for traders, the Israeli attack on Rafah shows the need for a ceasefire so that the war continues. Elsewhere the Ukraine vs Russia war adds further pressure on the risk side.
Also, Chinese data showed China's exports rose more than forecast at an annualized 1.5% in April, recovering from a 7.5% decline in the previous month.

gold 10 05 2024 d1 tv.png
 
Before the market closed, the increase in gold prices was stuck at $2378. Gold prices failed to continue their rally toward market close due to possible profit-taking.

Now the price of gold is at $2360 near MA 20. Several central banks that will open up the possibility to cut interest rates seem to be one of the drivers of the raising in gold prices.

Gold 11 05 2024 h1 tv.png
 
At market opening, the price of gold opened at $2360, there was no gap in gold today at the start of the week after the market closed on Saturday and Sunday. However, gaps occur in several forex pairs such as USDJPY, EURJPY, and CHFJPY. Gold prices are still moving between the middle and upper bands in the bullish zone in a daily timeframe.

Gold 13 05 2024 m5 tv.png
 
Gold prices fell yesterday after rallying last week to reach a high of $2378. Prices may still be looking for a retrace as they wait for US inflation data to be released on Wednesday.

Gold price is now at 2338 consolidating near the lower band in the H1 timeframe, a break of the low level will probably bring gold to look for support near $2300. While the next support is near $2280.

gold 14 05 2024 h1 tv.png
 
Global geopolitical events can have an impact on the demand for gold as a safe haven. The geopolitical tensions currently raging in Rafah have increased international criticism of Israel, which has killed more than 30 Palestinian residents.

Yesterday the price rose from a low of $2334 to a high of $2359. Apart from geopolitical events, gold is also the choice of central banks as a reserve asset. The BRIC countries have also abandoned the USD as a currency for international transactions, increasing demand for gold. The only obstacle is the Fed's interest rates which are still high, this causes people to prefer high yields to buying gold. Today will release important news US inflation data to be a concern among traders.

Gold 15 05 2024 h1 tv.png
 
Gold prices soared to a high of $2390 after the news release of CPI data which was lower than forecast. After the CPI news release caused the USD to weaken, even though prices were volatile, gold ultimately rally sharply and drew a bullish candlestick with a long body. Not only gold, but other metals Silver also jumped due to CPI data. The price is now near the upper band line, a break of the $2390 price level may be a bullish continuation.

Gold 16 05 2024 h1 tv.png
 
Gold prices pullback after a strong rally following US inflation data. Yesterday gold price drew a high of $2397 and a low of $2370.

Gold prices failed to continue yesterday's bullishness and were stuck near the upper band line which then pullback due to profit taking action. It was reported that gold prices rallied sharply after the CPI data was released with the actual data being lower than forecast.

CPI data got a market response and caused the price of gold to rally strongly reaching a price of $2397 was almost close to the target of $2400.
Cooler US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Retail Sales data for April provide expectations for the future path of US interest rates, which is an important factor for Gold's value.

The lower CPI data reflects disinflation which advances expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates. According to CME's FedWatch Tool, there is about a 75% chance that the Fed's interest rates will be at lower levels after the September meeting.

gold 17 05 2024 h1 tv.png
 
Top