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How The Price of Share is Determined
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[QUOTE="Holicent, post: 256261, member: 76163"] The rise in the price of shares is a good indicator for the economy. If you want to know what will happen to the stock market, simply look at how much it has risen or fallen in recent months. The price of a share reflects the value that investors place on a company. Shares can be bought and sold at any time, so they're an excellent way to track the market's movements. However, just as [USER=3658]@Suba[/USER] said, there are so many factors to be considered other than demand and supply. The easiest way to predict the price of shares is to use a valuation model. This is a statistical method that allows you to determine the intrinsic value of a company by analyzing its financial statements and comparing it to similar companies. There are several forms of valuation models, but they all have one thing in common — they rely on historical data. The more historical data you have, the better your valuation model will be. Price prediction models are almost always based on some type of regression analysis. Regression analysis is an approach that uses historical data and other factors (such as internal company information) to predict future results. [/QUOTE]
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